Multilevel models for repeated binary outcomes: attitudes and vote over the electoral cycle
نویسندگان
چکیده
Models for fitting longitudinal binary responses are explored using a panel study of voting intentions. A standard multilevel repeated measures logistic model is shown to be inadequate due to the presence of a substantial proportion of respondents who maintain a constant response over time. A multivariate binary response model is shown to be a better fit to the data. SOME
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Multilevel models for repeated binary outcomes: attitudes and voting over the electoral cycle
The electoral cycle has become an established feature of voting behaviour, both in Britain and in other European countries. After an initial `honeymoon' between the new Government and the electorate, disillusion often sets in and Government popularityÐwhether measured by opinion polls, by-elections or mid-term elections such as the European and local electionsÐ tends to decline. In most cases, ...
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